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Integrated SDG Insights

Central African Republic

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Central Africa Republic’s economy is in mitigation mode in 2023 but is projected to improve by 2024-2025. This pace of growth is characterized by being 13% higher, on average, than the global rate of growth, but below the country’s growth trajectory projected before the pandemic. The country’s policy focus is to develop basic infrastructure, promote green energy and raise the level of production and productivity in the agricultural sector.

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This pace of growth is not expected to exert a significant effect on lowering the incidence of poverty at $2.15 and $3.65 a day — hence the commitments to achieving the SDGs are focused on overcoming this stagnation. The economic expansion, on the other hand, would not be increasingly dependent on carbon emissions as the country’s fossil carbon emissions intensity of GDP would remain unchanged — and the intensity would follow a downward trend at an annual rate of decline of 6% when also considering land-use change.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

2.4 Ensure sustainable food production systems and implement resilient agricultural practices that increase productivity and production, that help maintain ecosystems, that strengthen capacity for adaptation to climate change, extreme weather, drought, flooding and other disasters, and that progressively improve land and soil quality

Ensuring sustainable food production systems and the implementation of resilient agricultural practices that increase productivity and production is among the top priorities of CAR’s National Pact for Food and Agriculture. This initiative will not only catalyze diversification of the economy (SDG 8), but also decentralize economic activity from the capital to the regions and provinces to address rural to urban migration by creating economic and employment opportunities in rural areas.  

Focusing on SDG target 2.4 can positively impact other SDGs such as poverty and hunger [SDG 1,2] good health [SDG 3], water and sanitation [SDG 6], energy [SDG 7], jobs [SDG 8], and reducing inequalities [SDG 10], including the provision of opportunities and resources to women in rural areas [SDG 5]. The synergies with renewable energy generation to provide access to low-carbon energy for rural enterprises such as agricultural processing industry - as emphasized in rural revival policy – will trigger a larger multiplier effect on all the SDGs via SDG 7. 

Synergies with other SDGs will reinforce overall SDG acceleration due to interlinkages, yet trade-offs are also possible via negative impacts if action on other SDGs are not coordinated. An increase in economic activity in rural areas may trigger deterioration in health and wellbeing (SDG-3), clean water and sanitation (SDG-6), responsible consumption and production (SDG-12).

8.2: Achieve higher levels of economic productivity through diversification, technological upgrading and innovation, including through a focus on high-value added and labour-intensive sectors

CAR’s path to achieving high economic productivity hinges on a strategic blend of economic diversification, development decentralization, technological upgrading, and innovation in the agricultural and industrial sectors. By expanding beyond traditional sectors (mining) and venturing into emerging industries such as renewable energy, technology, services sector, agribusiness and agricultural and food processing, CAR can achieve inclusive and sustainable growth while tapping into new sources of growth. Simultaneously, investments in education and skill development must empower the workforce to embrace these modern industries. Central to this endeavour should be a concerted focus on labour-intensive sectors, nurturing a robust environment for startups and SMEs, and building efficient infrastructure that binds the economy together. 

For instance, investments in sustainable agriculture, food processing, tourism, transit services, infrastructure, renewable energy, health, and education related technology sectors will provide opportunities for economic diversification. It also requires placing larger emphasis on supporting women's empowerment and access to finance to optimize the gains in productivity and economic diversification. Achievements in SDG target 8.2 have the acceleration potential throughout the SDG framework, with reductions in poverty and hunger [SDG 1,2], access to clean water [SDG 6.1], water use efficiency [6.4), reduce environmental impact on cities [SDG 11. 6) and sustainable use of resources [SDGs 12.2 and 12.6].

16.1: Significantly reduce all forms of violence and related death rates everywhere

CAR is at a crossroads, with overlapping crises (COVID-19, post-electoral conflict, the war in Ukraine, etc.) and critical choices to improve its people’s living conditions. For CAR to realize its enormous potential, must address the root causes of fragility by creating jobs, improving the management of its natural resources, and establishing a social contract.

To achieve this, CAR must implement the three pillars of the National Recovery and Peacebuilding Plan (RCPCA) for the period 2017-2023 which focus on: (i) supporting peace, security and national reconciliation, (ii) renewing the social contract between the State and the people and (iii) ensuring economic recovery and the recovery of the productive sectors. Furthermore, to build trust, the government should involve civil society organizations and the public in decision-making.

Achieving peace could play a crucial role in accelerating economic growth, reducing extreme poverty, boosting productivity, human capital, private sector investment and improving infrastructures such as road connections, electricity and ICT in CAR., Target 16.1 can serve as an enabler to achieve several SDGs.

16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions at all levels

Past attempts to address the political crisis and instability were unsuccessful because of mistrust between the state, armed groups, and citizens, and temporary strategies that did not address the root causes of conflicts and violence. 

Policymakers need to focus on accelerating development, improving the quality of governance at all levels, and increasing transparency to strong maximize the impact of reforms on the living standards of Central Africans as outlined in the National Recovery and Peacebuilding Plan (RCPCA) for the period 2017-2023 and sectoral development strategies (PES 2020-2029, PNDS 2021-2026, National Pact for Food and Agriculture, etc.).

Building effective, accountable and transparent institutions at all levels (SDG target 16.6) will a drive investment and progress across several SDGs, e.g., universal health coverage, quality education, water quality, sustainable food systems, resilient agricultural practices, job creation for youth, and resilient and sustainable infrastructure, among others.


15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

The Central African Republic's gross government debt, projected at 49.1% of GDP in 2023, is close to the low-income developing countries’ (LIDC) average of 48.3%. The country is projected to collect 13.8% of GDP in revenue this year, which is slightly less than the LIDC group ratio of 14.9%.

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The country’s public external debt servicing this year is projected to be 5.8% of revenue, which is less than half the LIDC average of 14.1%. Due to liquidity risks spurred by potential shortages in donor support, restricted regional market access and geopolitical tensions, the latest World Bank and IMF DSA rates the country as at ‘high risk of debt distress’.

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Central African Republic

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax and revenue reform
  • Debt for SDGs
  • Climate finance, especially the debt-for-climate action swaps
  • Blended and public-private finance
  • SDG-aligned business environment and investment
  • Accessing financial markets and insurance
  • Remittances, philanthropy and faith-based financing

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).