Back to main site

Integrated SDG Insights

Gabon

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Gabon’s economic growth is in mitigation mode in 2023 but is projected to transition to higher rates of growth by 2024-2025. This pace of growth is characterized by being 3% higher, on average, than the global figure, but well below the country’s growth trajectory projected before the pandemic.

Read More

While this pace of growth would exert a somewhat positive impact on reducing poverty at $3.65 a day, there are still significant challenges to accelerate progress, especially when using more stringent thresholds. Hence the country’s commitment to achieving the SDGs should focus on reducing extreme poverty. On the other hand, this economic growth cycle comes at the expense of the environment as the country’s carbon emissions intensity of GDP is expected to increase at an annual rate of 0.5% due to fossil fuel usage.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

8.5: Full employment and decent work with equal pay

Job creation in industry and services has not been sufficient to drive structural transformation in Gabon.  Inactivity and unemployment rates are high at 52% and 14% of the working population aged 15–64 years. The unemployment rates are particularly high among youth (21%) and women (19% vs. 11% for men), and rise to 32% and 29%, respectively when discouraged workers are included. About 50% of the unemployed are less than 30 years old and/or first-time job seekers, underlying the difficulty of the young generations to access the labour market.

To create jobs and reduce poverty, it is essential that Gabon increases its growth potential substantially through economic diversification, the accumulation of human capital and physical assets, and by attracting private investment in agriculture, fisheries,  manufacturing, ecotourism, green economy, environmental services and digital services, which have a large untapped potential to support structural transformation.

By focusing on SDG Target 8.5 Enhancing trade in goods and services, Gabon can open new drivers of growth, create jobs and reduce poverty and inequality. These new drivers of growth will help Gabon to break free from its resource dependent growth model and create the conditions to move people into jobs in promising green sectors.

Progress on Target 8.5 should be supported with policies to reduce energy intensity and increase its efficiency to mitigate the negative impact on the share of renewable energy (Target 7.2), energy efficiency (Target 7.3) and strengthening its resilience to environmental and climate shocks by leveraging trade in carbon credits linked to the preservation of rainforests.

9.2: Promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization

SDG 9.2 aims to foster inclusive and sustainable industrialization in Gabon while simultaneously enhancing its economic transformation. Heavy reliance on oil has hampered  the country's economic transformation. The country is one of the most highly commodity-dependent economies in the world, with oil, manganese and other extractives accounting for 98% of merchandise exports in 2021. Lack of economic diversification makes the economy vulnerable to external shocks and slows progress on reducing inequality, poverty and unemployment. Economic diversification offers multiple benefits, such as macroeconomic stability, economic growth, job creation and development, alongside promoting greater private sector activity, more sustainable public finances and greater skill diversity in the labour force.

However, the pursuit of economic diversification via industrialization also entails trade-offs. It requires careful consideration of environmental sustainability as industrial activities can have adverse ecological impacts — affecting ecosystems (15, 2), potable water (6), life below water (14) and life on land (15).  Rapid industrialization could put pressure on energy access (7.2) at the expense of energy sustainability (7.2, 7.3). Ensuring inclusivity in this process is crucial to prevent potential social, gender, and territorial inequalities (10. 5).

By investing in SDG 9.2 (Industry, Infrastructure and Innovation), Gabon can improve on current employment challenges and focus on key priorities around the eradication of poverty, reducing inequality, improving the business environment and stimulating private sector investment. This would be complemented with reviving the country’s agriculture, fisheries, manufacturing, stimulating ecotourism, environmental services and digital services; and leveraging trade in carbon credits linked to the preservation of rainforest will increase employment in the non-oil private sector.

11.2: Affordable and sustainable transport systems

Despite having all transport modes, Gabon faces a critical infrastructure gap.   Poor and inadequate infrastructure is a key barrier to private sector-led growth and in expanding economic opportunities for households. With one of the highest urbanization rates in Africa, Gabon needs to promote integrated urban development. This means better urban planning, improving roads and local transport, and greater access to greener and more resilient infrastructure in underserved neighbourhoods.

To improve the quality and access to transport and infrastructure services, Gabon needs to  develop a more integrated approach to transport and infrastructure connectivity anchored on a long-term multimodal strategy and a priority investment plan to coordinate efforts and mobilize additional financing for the following: the primary roads network, road maintenance, climate-resilient road construction, digital public infrastructure,  increased competition for international flights  and increasing private sector participation in infrastructure investment through public-private partnerships (PPPs).

Providing access to safe, affordable, accessible and sustainable transport systems for all reduces extreme poverty and inequalities and enhances inclusive growth through stimulating private sector investment, access to jobs, health care, education services and other public goods when adequately supported by environmental safeguards on SDG Targets 2.3, 7.2 and 14.2.  

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

Gabon's gross government debt is projected at 60.3% of GDP in 2023 and is thus 8.5 percentage points (pp) below the emerging market and middle-income economies (EMMIE) group of 68.8%. With a projected 18.1% of GDP this year, Gabon collects less revenue than the average EMMIE country with 26%. Natural resources account for about one third of the country’s revenue.

Show More

Gabon’s public external debt servicing this year is projected to be as high as 16.9% of revenue, which is 7.6 pp above the EMMIE country average of 12.3%. The country’s credit rating remains ‘highly speculative’ and significantly below the EMMIE average. Gabon is using an Integrated National Financing Framework (INFF) to address key fiscal and financial constraints and to build a more sustainable financial architecture at the national level. Priority actions have been identified in the areas of domestic revenue mobilization, including assessing the green taxation potential across key sectors of electricity, oil and gas, forestry, mining, agriculture livestock and fisheries, waste management and transportation; PPPs, including the application of sustainable PPP criteria to boost economic and social development; and other reforms aimed at enhancing alignment with the country’s ‘Green Gabon’ vision, such as the integration of natural capital into national accounts, and the mobilization of private investments in green and blue sectors.

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Gabon

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax and revenue reform
  • Debt for SDGs
  • Climate finance
  • Blended and public-private finance
  • SDG-aligned business environment and investment
  • Accessing financial markets and insurance
  • Remittances, philanthropy and faith-based financing

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).