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Integrated SDG Insights

Zimbabwe

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

By 2021, Zimbabwe’s economy had fully mitigated the contraction experienced during 2019-2020 and is expected to expand at an average annual rate of 5.1% during 2023-2024. This pace of growth is on average higher than the global growth rate.

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This accelerated pace of growth, however, is not projected to exert a noticeable impact on poverty reduction due to persistent inflation and intermittent shocks like drought. Hence, the country’s commitments to achieving the SDGs should focus on increasing labour productivity through capital deepening and structural transformation, as well as through instituting a robust social protection system to reduce poverty and vulnerability. On the other hand, this economic growth cycle comes at the expense of the environment as the country’s carbon emissions intensity of GDP is expected to increase at an annual rate of almost 1% due to fossil fuel usage.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

5.4: Value unpaid care and promote shared domestic responsibilities

In Zimbabwe women experience higher poverty levels than men, and poverty is particularly prevalent among individuals living in female-headed households, disproportionately surpassing their population share.

To address this, it is essential to prioritize closing the existing gender gap in employment, education and other opportunities through inclusive strategies for women. Zimbabwe's National Strategy for 2021-2025 emphasizes the need for integrated approaches to promote gender equality and to create greater opportunities, especially for young people.

Furthermore, a robust social protection programme targeting women and that leverages the potential of the digital can empower women by enabling them to succeed in the future of work, to access essential digital services, including those for education and health care, and to increase their civic and political engagement.

8.5: Full employment and decent work with equal pay

Unemployment and poverty are high in Zimbabwe  due to a weak job market, high informality, low investment and limited structural transformation. The national expanded unemployment rate was around  47.3 percent in 2021, with an estimated 39.8 percent of the population living below the US$2.15/day (2017 PPP) international poverty line in 2019. 

To  promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, it is critical to  prioritize  increasing labour productivity through capital deepening and structural transformation  to generate productive jobs for all which is key to reducing poverty and inequality. 

By investing in SDG 8 (Decent work and economic growth), Zimbabwe  can improve on its current employment, inequality and poverty  challenges. Progress on Target 8.5 should be supported with policies to reduce energy intensity and to increase energy efficiency  to mitigate the negative impact on the share of renewable energy (Target 7.2) and energy  efficiency (Target 7.3).

9.1: Develop sustainable, resilient and inclusive infrastructures

Zimbabwe ranks 114th out of 152 countries in the United Nations Industrial Development Organization’s 2020 Competitive Industrial Performance Index, down from 112th in 2019. Zimbabwe’s industry faces several challenges: macroeconomic instability, inadequate access to affordable and reliable infrastructure, such as electricity, transport and water supply. To spur industrialization, the government should prioritize macroeconomic stability, supporting  export diversification and participation in Global Value Chains (GVCs), and enhance the productivity of the informal sector and linkages with the formal sector.

By investing in SDG 9.1 (Industry, infrastructure and innovation), Zimbabwe can improve on its current employment challenges and focus on key priorities around the eradication of poverty, thereby reducing inequality. This, complemented with formalization of informal firms and state support for services trade, will increase the economy’s ability to absorb the ever-increasing ranks of youth and increase the productivity and competitiveness of local firms. 

11.1: Safe and affordable housing

Urbanization and rapid population growth present challenges in providing adequate housing, water, basic services and infrastructure in Zimbabwe's  cities. To tackle these issues, the Zimbabwe Government has come up with the Zimbabwe National Human Settlements Policy (ZNHSP) which will impact more than three million people. 

Progress in achieving SDG 11 (Sustainable cities and communities), aligns with the ZNHSP's  national priorities for social progress.  The ZNHSP is  anchored on the New Urban Agenda (NUA) aspects as follows: i) local economic development; ii) sustainable land use and security of tenure; iii) preserving socio-ecological functions of land and related resources through, inter alia, effective waste management; iv) appropriate spatial development strategies, including densification, avoiding sprawl and renewing settlements; and v) promoting sound socio-economic linkages within and between rural and urban areas.

Additionally, efforts should be made to integrate sustainable transportation systems and to enhance disaster preparedness to ensure resilient and sustainable urban development. Investing in Target 11.1 can advance the objectives of the NUA emphasizing the importance of improving the quality of settlements and of ensuring access to essential services, such as electricity, water, sanitation, education, health care, roads and the internet.

16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions

In Zimbabwe, approximately 42.1 percent of the population are satisfied with the public services they receive. By focusing on SDG 16 ( eace, justice, and strong institutions), and specifically Target 16.6, measures can be implemented to cut across all goals and pillars outlined in the National Development Strategy, where public services are provided.

This offers Zimbabwe the opportunity to set a higher goal, for example increasing the percentage of the population satisfied with the public services received.This increase will have a positive multiplier effect on the progress of other SDGs.

However, it is crucial to ensure that this objective is accompanied by safeguards to prevent the deepening of inequalities and poverty.

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

Zimbabwe's gross government debt, projected at 102.3% of GDP in 2023, is more than double the low-income developing countries’ (LIDC) average of 48.3%. Part of this debt was inherited by its unrecognized predecessor state, Rhodesia, and Zimbabwe has been battling a debt crisis since defaulting in 2000. The country is projected to collect 18.3% of GDP in revenue this year according to government’s figures, above the LIDC group ratio of 14.9%.

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Zimbabwe’s public external debt servicing this year, at 3.4% of revenue, is nearly 11 percentage points (pp) below the LIDC average of 14.1%. Due to its decades-long default and prolonged unsettled external arrears – unpaid amounts past due dates – the latest World Bank and IMF DSA from April 2022 rates the country ‘in debt distress’. Additionally, Zimbabwe has very little chance of accessing external financing. 

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Zimbabwe

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax and revenue reform
  • Debt for SDGs
  • Climate finance
  • Blended and public-private finance
  • SDG-aligned business environment and investment
  • Accessing financial markets and insurance
  • Remittances, philanthropy and faith-based financing

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).