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Integrated SDG Insights

Somalia

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Somalia’s economy is in mitigation mode in 2023-2025. This pace of growth is characterized by being 16% higher, on average, than the global forecast and is converging with the country’s growth trajectory projected before the pandemic. Accordingly, the country’s policy focus is on macro stability, business reforms, job creation and social protection.

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It highlights that this pace of economic expansion is increasingly less dependent on carbon emissions as the country’s emissions intensity of GDP is projected to decrease at annual rates of between 2% and 3%. Moreover, Somalia’s carbon intensity of GDP (from fossil fuel usage), at slightly more than 0.03 tonnes per $1,000, is the third lowest in the world.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

1.5: Build resilience to environmental, economic, and social disasters

The country is highly susceptible to droughts, conflicts and economic fluctuations, all of which disproportionately impact vulnerable communities. Nearly 70% of Somalis live on less than US$ 1.90 per day, while almost 90% of Somali households are deprived in at least one dimension – monetary, electricity, education or water and sanitation – with nearly 70% of households deprived in two or more dimensions. Internally displaced persons (IDPs) and nomadic populations have significantly higher levels of exposure to deprivations in multiple dimensions.

Improving water management and diversified agricultural practices leads to enhanced food security and reduced vulnerability to droughts. Economic diversification, coupled with social safety nets, are a buffer against economic downturns and provide stability for households. Strengthening social systems, including education and health care, can uplift human capital and enable communities to withstand shocks.

Additionally, resilience-building initiatives empower marginalized populations, promoting sustainable development and reducing the cyclical nature of poverty. Enhanced resilience can attract investments, boost local economies and foster long-term stability. By addressing the interconnected challenges of climate, economy and society, Somalia can create a more secure and prosperous future, lifting communities out of poverty's grip.

2.2: End all forms of malnutrition

By the end of 2019, the national prevalence of Global Acute Malnutrition, or wasting, was at 13.1%, and urgent treatment and nutrition support were needed for approximately 963,000 children below the age of 5 years. The level of Severe Acute Malnutrition stood at 1.8% at the end of 2019, however, its prevalence is increasing, particularly among IDP children. Moreover, 28% of children under 5 years are stunted.

Ending malnutrition involves adopting a multifaceted approach. It begins with scaling up nutrition-specific interventions, such as promoting exclusive breastfeeding, providing nutrient-rich foods for infants and young children and treating severe acute malnutrition. Simultaneously, nutrition-sensitive strategies like improving agricultural practices, enhancing access to clean water and sanitation, and bolstering women's empowerment are crucial. These interventions also have positive impacts on employment and livelihoods. Strengthening health care systems to offer nutrition services, enhancing data collection for monitoring and fostering partnerships among government, NGOs and international organizations should also be put in place. Public awareness campaigns about nutrition and hygiene, especially targeting remote and vulnerable communities, are also vital.

4.1: Free primary and secondary education

Almost half of Somali children and adults have never received formal education. Among boys and men, 45% have never had formal schooling, while among girls and women the figure is 48%. Among nomadic populations, the figures are as high as 78% among boys and men and 84%  among girls and women. Even among those who have had an opportunity to attend school, few were successful in completing primary school: only 4% of boys and men and 5% of girls and women. Approximately 3 million out of 5 million children aged 6–18 years are out of school in Somalia. Only 30% of children at the primary education level and 26% at the secondary education level are enrolled in school.

A starting point is prioritizing education funding and resource allocation at the national level. Establishing and rehabilitating school infrastructure in underserved areas will enhance accessibility. Training and recruiting qualified teachers, particularly in rural regions, can improve education quality. Developing a relevant and inclusive curriculum that addresses local needs and aspirations will engage students better.

Additionally, creating incentives for enrolment, especially for girls and removing barriers like child labour will increase attendance rates. Leveraging technology for distance learning can extend educational opportunities to remote areas. Strengthening data collection and monitoring mechanisms will enable evidence-based decision-making. Collaborating with international partners and NGOs can provide expertise and resources.

9.1: Develop sustainable, resilient and inclusive infrastructures

Decades of conflict have had a devastating impact on socio-economic conditions and infrastructure. The country has about 22,000 km of roads, 13% of which are paved, 4% are gravel and 83% are earthen. While the potential of cross-border trade is significant, poor road infrastructure and insecurity are significant constraints . Somalia has the longest coastline in Africa, with several harbours and ports. Despite this, the GDP contribution of the fisheries sector in Somalia is very limited.

Developing sustainable, resilient and inclusive infrastructure in Somalia would bolster economic growth by improving transportation networks, energy access and communication systems, thereby attracting investments and creating jobs. Resilient infrastructure would enhance the country's ability to withstand and recover from natural disasters and climate-related shocks, minimizing disruptions to livelihoods and improving the resilience of its population.

Inclusivity in infrastructure ensures equitable access for marginalized populations, reducing disparities and promoting social cohesion. Reliable energy and clean water supply improve living standards and public health. Connectivity through digital infrastructure can stimulate innovation, education and e-commerce. Sustainable practices in construction and operation reduce environmental degradation.

Overall, such infrastructure development would catalyse a positive cycle of economic prosperity, social well-being, environmental stewardship and resilience, propelling Somalia toward a more sustainable and inclusive future.

16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions

After decades of conflict, the institutional setup in Somalia has weakened, limiting its capacity to control territory, hindering effective service delivery, promoting instability and limiting its capacity to promote economic growth. The limited capacities at all levels of government to provide for the security, social, environmental and economic needs of the population pose an additional challenge to the legitimacy of the state. This is further aggravated by a fragile political environment and pervasive corruption.

Comprehensive governance reforms, including anti-corruption measures and clear legal frameworks, must be implemented. Strengthening public administration and civil service capacity through training and merit-based recruitment will enhance service delivery. Promoting citizen participation and engagement through open dialogue and decentralized decision-making can improve accountability.

Investing in technology for e-governance and digital services can enhance transparency and efficiency. Strengthening the judiciary's independence and capacity for fair dispute resolution is vital. International partnerships and technical assistance can provide expertise and resources for institution-building. Regular monitoring and evaluation of progress, coupled with transparent reporting, will foster a culture of accountability. This multifaceted approach will establish the foundation for sustainable development, attracting investments, fostering public trust and ensuring equitable access to services and opportunities for all.

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

Somalia is projected to collect 7.8% of GDP in revenue this year, which is nearly half the low-income developing countries’ (LIDC) average of 14.9%.

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The country’s external debt servicing this year is projected to reach 7.9% of revenue compared to 14.1% for the LIDC average. Due to limited capacity to carry external debt of about 40% of GDP in 2022, Somalia's latest World Bank and IMF DSA from May 2023 rates the country ‘in debt distress’. Somalia is part of both the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Initiative and of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative, and is in the process of negotiating debt restructuring with its creditors. By early 2024, Somalia will be able to access significant new resources, such as concessional loans and credit from international financial institutions.

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Somalia

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax for SDGs
  • Climate finance
  • Leveraging private sector investments, through public-private partnerships, in infrastructure, energy, ports, and telecommunications sectors  
  • Enhancing financial inclusion and access to credit for small and medium enterprises, especially for women and youth, through digital technologies and microfinance institutions
  • Remittances, philanthropy and faith-based financing

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).