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Integrated SDG Insights

Liberia

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Liberia’s growth trajectory during the 2023-2025 cycle is in acceleration, characterized by being 75% higher, on average, than the projected world growth rate, and well above the country’s growth trajectory projected before the pandemic. Accordingly, Liberia’s commitments to achieving the SDGs are focused on building a capable state that is united in purpose and filled with hope and prosperity.​

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While this pace of growth is expected to reduce the incidence of poverty at $2.15 and $3.65 a day, the challenge lifting Liberians out of poverty to prosperity remains. On the other hand, Liberia’s growth cycle occurs at the expense of the environment, as the country’s carbon emissions intensity of GDP is expected to increase at an annual rate of 7.7% due to fossil fuel usage.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

1.3: Implement social protection systems​

The low levels of schooling and limited access to education by the poor adversely affect educational attainment in Liberia. While 48 percent of children between the ages of 6 and 11 from better-off Liberian households and those in urban areas attend primary school, this number stands at 26 percent for children from poorer households and those in rural areas. ​

The median young woman from a poor rural household has just 1.8 years of formal education. A lack of money, distance to the nearest school, and early marriages are often cited by parents as barriers for their children to access education. Only 29 percent of preschool-age children are enrolled in early childhood education (ECE) programs, and as many as eight out of every 10 of those enrolled in ECE are over the appropriate age and should be enrolled in primary school.​

Implementing social protection system can enhance access to quality education and market-relevant skills for youth, improved maternal and child health, and support accumulation of human capital and other productive assets by the poor. ​

By investing in social protection (SDG 1.3) , Liberia can support investments in human capital designed to boost productivity growth (target 8.1) and improve household welfare, specifically in combination with interventions in educational attainment (target 4.1), nutrition (target 2.2), skills training (target 8.2), youth employment (targets 4.4, 8.5), healthcare access (target 3.8).​

8.5: Full employment and decent work with equal pay

Over 70 percent of Liberians are under the age of 35, and a large share of young workers intensifies demand for jobs. Liberia’s youth that account for 85 percent of the unemployed population are especially vulnerable to social and economic exclusion. Unemployment rates are especially high among young women, and female unemployment is associated with a range of other factors, including early marriage and childbearing, lower levels of educational attainment and workforce skills, and social norms that emphasize women’s reproductive roles over their roles as income earners. ​

Growing the private sector to generate jobs for all is key to address social and economic exclusion. By investing in SDG 8 (Decent work and economic growth), Liberia can improve on current employment challenges and move the needle on key priorities around the eradication of poverty, zero hunger, improved health care and education.

Progress on Target 8.5 will benefit from advancements in closing key infrastructure gaps, specifically in electricity, sustainable and safe road connectivity and ICT and also in promoting access to clean energy.  These actions will progressively help to eradicate poverty in Liberia. ​

16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions

In Liberia, 25.6 percent of the population are satisfied with the public service received. By focusing on SDG 16 (Peace, justice and strong institutions) and, in particular Target 16.6, measures can be a booster shot needed to promote inclusive economic growth, ensure quality and effective and equitable access to public services to the poor.  ​

Further investing in SDG 16 will also provide the country with a continued transition from conflict and fragility and  strengthen the social contract between the government and its citizens. This should be supported by deliberate policies and programmes to not only encourage economic inclusiveness but also ensure equity in tax administration, the application of the rule of law (security and justice) and the distribution of social services, including education, health and social protection to have a positive impact on other SDGs. Equally important are measures to enforce political commitments, including through the deliberate use of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) in the monitoring and evaluation of government projects or mechanisms to strengthen the access to public information. ​

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

Liberia's gross government debt is expected at 57.1% of GDP in 2023, which is 8.8 percentage points (pp) above the low-income developing countries (LIDC) average of 48.3%. The country is expected to collect 23% of GDP in revenue this year, thus about a third more than the LIDC average of 14.9%. ​

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Liberia’s external debt servicing this year is expected to reach 8.1% of revenue, which is 6 pp below the LIDC average of 14.1%. Given that multilateral lenders hold more than 90% of Liberia’ external debt at highly concessional terms, the latest World Bank and IMF DSA rated the country as only ‘in moderate risk of debt distress’. ​

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Liberia

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax and revenue reform​
  • Debt for SDGs​
  • Climate finance​
  • Blended and public-private finance​
  • SDG-aligned business environment and investment​
  • Accessing financial markets and insurance​
  • Remittances, philanthropy and faith-based financing​
  • Development cooperation

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).