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Integrated SDG Insights

Cabo Verde

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Cabo Verde’s economy is in coping mode in 2023, but it is expected to transition into acceleration mode by 2024-2025. This pace of growth is characterized by being 70% higher, on average, than the world growth rate, aligning with the country’s growth trajectory forecast before the pandemic.

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This pace of growth would exert a moderate positive impact on reducing poverty, though there are still challenges to accelerate poverty reduction from its relatively high prevailing levels when using more stringent thresholds. The country’s commitment to achieving the SDGs should therefore focus on eradicating extreme poverty. On the other hand, economic expansion would be less dependent on carbon emissions as the country’s fossil emissions intensity of GDP is projected to decrease at an annual rate of 3.4%.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

8.2: Diversify, innovate and upgrade for economic productivity

Cabo Verde’s tourism sector, which has been a driver of economic growth and job creation, experienced exceptional growth over the past two decades, reaching an estimated 25% of GDP by 2019. The COVID-19 pandemic, however, led to a decline in arrivals by 75%  in 2020, affecting tourism and ancillary sectors resulting in an economic decline of 14.8% in 2020.

The pandemic reinforced the imperative of diversifying the economy as an essential measure of resilience to external shocks. Cabo Verde Ambition 2030 sets the commitment for the diversification of the economy by integrating the country into new global value chains. The Cabo Verdean authorities are prioritizing the Blue Economy, the green transition and renewable energy,  digitalization and innovation, sustainable tourism and culture,  and human capital, including health and education. Cabo Verde is also  seeking to establish an international financial centre with a focus on sustainable finance.

Acknowledging the increasing importance of services in supporting countries’  diversification efforts, it would be beneficial for Cabo Verde to develop new “deep trade agreements" (with respect to the African Continental Free Trade Area and the Economic Community of West African States), including in the broad category of services and digital services (e.g. eservices, ecommerce). Such trade policies involving services could lead to higher labour,  overall positive productivity multiplier effects  on 7 SDGs (SDGs 1,2 ,6, 7,  8, 11 and 12) and 18 associated targets, and to one trade-off on water treatment (SDG target 6.3).  When undertaking these investments, it is vital to incorporate safeguards to address the trade-offs.​

11.2: Affordable and sustainable transport systems

Cabo Verde is served  a good network of national and municipal roads  and rental car parks in good condition, meaning that most of the population has safe and easy access to transport. Most cities are small and, as such, internal mobility does not depend on the availability of public transport, which, in any case, is of high quality, reliable, safe and comfortable in the two largest cities, namely Praia and Mindelo. Interurban transport is served by minibuses and, to a lesser extent, by mixed type vehicles, especially to areas not served by proper or paved roads.

However, no Cabo Verdean city has mobility systems adapted for people with disabilities, and architectural barriers seriously limit accessibility. As a Small Island Developing State, the country also needs to develop its maritime and air transport systems to strengthen its links and connectivity to the rest of the World  as this will be key to unlocking its economic diversification challenge.

Investing in effective low-cost public transportation makes cities more inclusive, safe and sustainable. Effective and low-cost public transportation reduces urban poverty and inequalities and enhances inclusive growth through access to jobs, health care, education services and other public goods when adequately supported by environmental safeguards on SDG Targets 2.3, 7.2 and 14.2.

16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions

In Cabo Verde, approximately 70.6% of the population expresses satisfaction with the public services they receive. By focusing on SDG 16 (Peace, justice and strong institutions), specifically on Target 16.6, and improving its  governance systems,  Cabo Verde will reap a “governance dividend.”

Improving governance and fighting corruption remain critical ingredients in boosting inclusive growth and development in Cabo Verde. Sound institutions that guarantee integrity in the management of public affairs are critical on the path toward higher and more inclusive growth. This increase will have a positive multiplier effect on the progress made on other SDGs.

Institutional strength and accountability is instrumental in how effectively countries recover,  build more resilient post-pandemic economies and achieve the SDGs.

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

Cabo Verde’s external debt servicing this year is projected to be as high as 22.9% of revenue, which is nearly double the EMMIE group’s 12.3%. Due to adequate reserves, a fixed exchange rate and predominantly fixed interest rates for its external debt, the latest World Bank and IMF DSA from June 2022 rated the country as at ‘moderate risk of debt distress’.

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Cabo Verde is using an Integrated National Financing Framework (INFF) to address key fiscal and financial constraints, and to build a more sustainable financial architecture at the national level. Key priority actions have been identified in the areas of domestic revenue mobilization and tax administration (improving tax revenue forecast capacity; eliminating or streamlining inefficient tax incentives; taxation of high carbon goods and services); and public debt (reduction of internal public debt that far exceeded the limits imposed by law; debt-to-nature swap negotiation with Portugal to finance the Environment and Climate Fund; efforts in transitioning from public sovereign debt to alternative financing for SDGs-aligned municipal, business and people development; and nationally determined contributions through the Blu-X platform, where US$35 million has been raised through three social bonds, one sustainable bond and one blue bond).

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Cabo Verde

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax and revenue reform
  • Debt for SDGs
  • Climate finance
  • Blended and public-private finance
  • SDG-aligned business environment and investment
  • Accessing financial markets and insurance
  • Remittances, philanthropy and faith-based financing

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).