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Integrated SDG Insights
Mongolia

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Mongolia’s economic growth cycle in 2023-2025 is in acceleration, with growth rates expected to be 79% higher, on average, than that of the world's forecast and converging to the country’s growth trajectory forecasted before the pandemic.1 Economic growth is expected to exert a positive effect on reducing poverty at $2.15 and $3.65 a day. Despite years of robust macroeconomic growth, before the pandemic, Mongolia faced challenges in reducing absolute poverty, which fell by only 2.6 thousand people (from 907.5 thousand in 2016 to 904.9 thousand in 2018). Despite high literacy rate among females 99.3% and males 99.1%, poverty and inequality persist. According to the multidimensional poverty index (MPI 2018 estimates for Mongolia), 230 thousand people or 7.3% of population are considered as multidimensionally poor while an additional 15.5% are classified as vulnerable to multidimensional poverty. The intensity of deprivation is 38.8% to which the standard of living contributes 52.1%.

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The analysis suggests that the impact of economic growth in poverty reduction, however, is minimal. The slow decline in poverty is due to high population growth, lack of employment opportunities, and increasing inequalities due to poor access to productive resources and jobs for vulnerable groups of the population such as single heads of household, women, and youth. According to the World Bank 2018 poverty update, a third of Mongolia's GDP comes from the capital-intensive mining and related activities, which does not absorb an increase in the labour force. If the gains of growth are evenly distributed across all sectors of the economy, all sectors can benefit, especially the low-skilled workers in the informal sectors.

The economic expansion would increase carbon emissions, and at the current condition, the country’s carbon emissions intensity of GDP is expected to increase at annual rates of 21%-24%.3 The rise is expected due to increased use of fossil fuel and from increase in livestock husbandry practices.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

Government of Mongolia SDG ACCELERATORS

SDG Accelerators detail actions of the national priorities identified by analyzing three keygovernment documents. SDG Accelerators will take action to foster initiatives undertaken byboth the public and private sector, either independently or in collaboration, to expedite the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

These actions encompass new initiatives or those building upon ongoing efforts, such as scaling up existing projects or entering a new phase, with the primary aim of advancing progress towards achieving one or more of the 17 SDGs. These actions also take into account the interconnectedness of the 2030 Agenda, aiming to address the complex and interlinked challenges towards sustainable development in the country.

The Government of Mongolia has devised eight accelerators based on its national priorities to boost the achievement of SDGs. At its core, the SDG Accelerators will address gender equality as a crosscutting feature and use three important action levers for accelerating SDGs, which include fostering effective governance and improving policy coherence, decentralization of development to bridge urban-rural divide, and boosting public and private finance for SDGs.

The VNR 2023 affirms that Ensuring Gender Equality and providing equal opportunities to women is crosscutting priority for the government. The National Committee on Gender Equality, chaired by the Prime Minister of Mongolia, has approved the Interdisciplinary Strategic Plan forEnsuring Gender Equality (2022-2031), which aims to stimulate cross-sectoral cooperation to strengthen the gender-sensitive implementation of adopted laws, policies and programmes and the assessment of their effectiveness in terms of gender equality.1

Further, the Prime Minister has established an energy recovery accelerator, which is working on resolving issues related to electricity, heating sources as well as transmission and distribution networks with active partnership between the public and private sectors and investors.

1 VNR Government of Mongolia 2023.

SDG Interlinkages


SDG Interlinkages reveal how actions directed towards one SDG can impact others. Uncovering and understanding these interactions can help Mongolia to achieve the 2030 Agenda and navigate trade-offs. Based on a global framework for interlinkages, Mongolia’s SDG progress is color coded at the target level.

Building from national priorities and accelerators, the following pathways reflect policy investments with the most potential to accelerate the SDGs for Mongolia:

  • Target 2.3: Double the productivity and incomes of small-scale food producers
  • Target 3.8: Achieve universal health coverage
  • Target 4.3: Equal access to affordable technical, vocational and higher education
  • Target 7.2: Increase global percentage of renewable energy
  • Target 8.2: Diversify, innovate and technologically upgrade for economic productivity
  • Target 9.1: Develop sustainable, resilient and inclusive infrastructures
  • Target 9.5: Enhance research and upgrade industrial technologies
  • Target 10.2: Promote universal social, economic and political inclusion
  • Target 13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate related disasters
  • Target 16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions
  • Target 17.3: Mobilize resources to improve domestic revenue collection

2.3: Double the agricultural productivity and incomes of small-scale food producers, in particular women, indigenous peoples, family farmers, pastoralists and fishers, including through secure and equal access to land, other productive resources and inputs, knowledge, financial services, markets and opportunities for value addition and non-farm employment

Increasing agriculture productivity and a push for rural development is among the top priorities of the Government of Mongolia and is part of its New Recovery Policy based SDG Accelerators. This initiative will not only catalyze diversification of the economy, but also decentralize economic activity from the capital to the regions and provinces to address rural to urban migration by creating economic and employment opportunities in rural areas.

Focusing on SDG target 2.3 can positively impact other SDGs such as poverty and hunger [SDG 1,2] good health [SDG 3], water and sanitation [SDG 6], energy [SDG 7], jobs [SDG 8], and reducing inequalities [SDG 10], including the provision of opportunities and resources to women in rural areas [SDG 5]. The synergies with renewable energy generation to provide access to low-carbon energy for rural enterprises such as agricultural processing industry - as emphasized in rural revival policy – will trigger a larger multiplier effect on all the SDGs via SDG7.

The “Food Supply and Safety” national campaign, initiated by the President of Mongolia is focusing on establishing and developing clusters, raw material supply chains and transport and logistics networks in line with regional development, protecting livestock health, providing fiscal and financial incentives, and unlocking private sector capital. To increase agriculture and rural development the government is providing fiscal and financial support for agriculture and food sector enterprises that are newly created.

In its urban and rural revival policy the Government is placing emphasis on increasing rural development. This new policy will increase the population of large settlements by 20 percent while creating 600 new jobs in rural areas and 700 new jobs within the framework of energy revival. The energy sector development will broadly support rural economic development as new renewable and hydro energy projects will be located across the country.

Synergies with other SDGs will reinforce overall SDG acceleration due to interlinkages, yet trade-offs are also possible via negative impacts if action on other SDGs are not coordinated. An increase in economic activity in rural areas may trigger deterioration in health and wellbeing (SDG-3), clean water and sanitation (SDG-6), responsible consumption and production (SDG-12), and life on land (SDG-15).

3.8: Achieve universal health coverage, including financial risk protection, access to quality essential health-care services and access to safe, effective, quality and affordable essential medicines and vaccines for all


Improving access and quality of health services is among the top-level priorities for Mongolia. As stated in the Vision 2050 and on the SDG National commitments, the Government of Mongolia identifies health as an accelerator for development, which stems from the recognition that a healthy and thriving population forms the foundation for sustainable progress.

Investments on SDG target 3.8 can have multiple positive effects on a vast range of development outcomes, such as reducing poverty and inequalities [SDG 1, 10], quality education (SDG4), human capital and labour productivity [SDG 8].

Despite significant progress in improving healthcare access and quality over the years – as reflected by the national statistics of 85 percent of coverage rate of essential healthcare services in 2020 - several challenges persist in healthcare. The country's vast and sparsely populated geography, coupled with harsh climatic conditions, has posed obstacles to delivering healthcare services to all citizens, particularly to women and those residing in rural and remote areas.  While Mongolia's healthcare expenditure need has increased over the years, the funding remains a challenge. The government's constrained ability to allocate sufficient resources to the healthcare sector affects the quality and availability of services.

To enhance the quality and accessibility of the healthcare system in the country, the Government will focus its efforts on expanding e-health, setting up a national health insurance system, improving the capabilities of domestic organ transplant and cancer treatment facilities, and elevating the standards of domestically available medicines.

4.3: By 2030, ensure equal access for all women and men to affordable and quality technical, vocational and tertiary education, including university

Promoting a productive workforce is crucial for Mongolia's government, as reflected in several strategies and polices. A skilled workforce is essential for driving economic growth and diversification, enhancing employability and reducing unemployment rates [SDG 8] -particularly important for the youth that face high levels of unemployment (19.4% asof 2022) and can benefit from the integration of innovation and technology in various sectors.

Access to relevant skills enables individuals to break the cycle of poverty [SDG 1] and canalso support and accelerate the process of digital transition. The successful integration ofdigital technology into various sectors requires a workforce that understands and caneffectively develop and utilize relevant and innovative technologies and tools. Targetedinvestments on SDG Target 4.3 (Quality Vocational and High Education) together with SDGTarget 3.8 (Universal Health Coverage) can also create a mutually reinforcing dynamicsthat improves human capital, (SDG 3,4,5) enhances workforce capabilities, reducespoverty ([SDG-1), and builds concrete acceleration pathways for sustainable developmentin Mongolia.

While Mongolia has an impressive rate of literacy (99 percent) and enrollment, thevocational and higher education systems are weak and there is still a need to improve thequality and effectiveness of education. The learning outcome needs to commensurate withyears of schooling. The skills supplied by the education sector are not matching labormarket needs. Also, higher and quality education provision is concentrated mainly in urbanareas and needs to reach the rural population. Consequently, the proportion of youth aged15–24 years not in education, employment or training is high, at around 18 percent.

To increase youth employment, the Government focuses on improving the vocational education and training system to meet its priorities in development and to provide students with high professional skills, as stated in Vision 2050.

7.2: By 2030, increase substantially the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix

Improvements in renewable energy, energy efficiency, and clean energy technology are imperative for Mongolia's just energy transition and can serve as a catalyst for economic diversification and decentralisation of its developmental trajectory.

Mongolia's demand for energy, electricity and heating has been increasing by 5 to 7% per annum over the past years due to population growth, urbanization, and economic development, which is stressing the existing energy infrastructure. Coal power generation is the largest contributor to CO2 emissions. The government has pledged to

decrease greenhouse gas emissions by 22.7% by 2030. Currently, Mongolia is lagging behind on its target for increasing the share of renewable energy in total final energy consumption and increasing renewable energy intensity in its primary energy sources.1

In its Voluntary National Review (VNR) 2023 the government of Mongolia
has acknowledged the need for increasing focus and investment on renewable energy and is committed to creating an enabling environment for low-carbon energy transition and financing.

Achieving SDG Target 7.2 will have a cascading impact on other SDGs as SDG target 7.1 will impact all other SDG7 targets, including target 7.3.


1 GOM VNR 2023

8.2: Achieve higher levels of economic productivity through diversification, technological upgrading and innovation, including through a focus on high-value-added and labor-intensive sectors

Mongolia's path to achieving elevated economic productivity hinges on a strategic blend of economic diversification, development decentralization, technological upgrading, and innovation. A heavy reliance on mining in Mongolia has resulted in higher economic vulnerability to global market fluctuations, especially variation in global commodity prices. This can lead to significant economic shocks, affecting government revenue, foreign exchange, and employment. By expanding beyond traditional sectors (mining, and herding animals) and venturing into emerging industries such as renewable energy, technology, services sector, agribusiness and agricultural and food processing, Mongolia can fortify its economy against volatility while tapping into new sources of growth. Simultaneously, investments in education and skill development must empower the workforce to embrace these modern industries.

Central to this endeavor is a concerted focus on labor-intensive sectors, nurturing a robust environment for startups and SMEs, and building efficient infrastructure that binds the economy together. For instance, investments in sustainable agriculture, food processing, cashmere, meat, copper, steel making, tourism, transit services, infrastructure, renewable energy, health, and education related technology sectors will provide opportunities for economic diversification. It also requires placing larger emphasis on supporting women's empowerment and access to finance to optimize the gains in productivity and economic diversification.

Achievements in 8.2 have the acceleration potential throughout the SDG framework, with reductions in poverty and hunger [SDG 1,2], sustainable use of resources [SDG 12] and affordable and clean energy [SDG 7].

9.1: Develop sustainable, resilient and inclusive infrastructures

9.5: Enhance research and upgrade industrial technologies

10.2: Promote universal social, economic and political inclusion

13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related hazards and natural disasters

Mongolia's average air temperature has increased by 2.14°C over the past 70 years, which is 2-3 times higher than the global average over the past 100 years. Due to its geographical location, vulnerable ecosystem, people's nomadic lifestyles and economic system, Mongolia is one of the countries that are susceptible to the impacts of climate change making it vulnerable and putting it at high-risk in terms of threats to its social-ecological system. Thus, it is important to strengthen the capacity of vulnerable groups in Mongolian society and provide support to key economic sectors to adapt to climate change to strengthen their resilience thereby ensuring sustainability of Mongolia's economy, preserving its unique biodiversity, and safeguarding the well-being of its people.

To boost the nation's disaster management capabilities, the Government will prioritize policy actions in the NDC and Vision 2050, aimed at strengthening the disaster prevention systems against various hazards and natural calamities. This will involve enhancing the capacity of early warning systems for climate and weather-related hazards, constructing wastewater treatment and recycling facilities, and expanding surface water storage.

Investments on SDG Target 13.1 can have multiple synergies across a vast range of development outcomes. A resilient and adaptive society provides stable needs for the people and therefore contributes to accelerating the elimination of poverty and hunger [SDG 1, 2], enhancing the provision of water and sanitation [SDG 6], as well as increasing economic productivity [SDG 8], access to safe and affordable housing [SDG 11], and efficient use of natural resources [SDG 12]. However, trade-offs may negatively impact SDG linkages due to the development related investments.  


16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions, economic and political inclusion

17.3: Mobilize resources to improve domestic revenue collection

4. Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

5. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

Mongolia's gross government debt, expected at 76.2% of GDP in 2023, is nearly 28 percentage points (pp) above the low-income developing countries (LIDC) group with an average of 48.3% of GDP. The country is expected to collect 36% of GDP in revenue this year – more than double the LIDC group’s 14.9% – with natural resources accounting for about a fifth of the said revenue.

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Mongolia's external debt servicing relative to revenue is expected to be as high as 19.1% this year, which is 5 pp above the average of 14.1% for LIDC. The country’s credit rating – is close to the LIDC average –which is in the ‘highly speculative’ category.

Mongolia is using an Integrated National Financing Framework to address key fiscal and financial constraints and build a more sustainable financial architecture at the national level. Priority actions include enhancing domestic revenue mobilization through reforms of taxation and strengthening tax administration, especially in the extractives sector; better alignment of public spending with the SDGs; attracting private investments in SDG-aligned assets and projects by creating the enabling environment, and introducing new sustainability-linked instruments and solutions.

As part of the effort to create an enabling environment for sustainable private investments, Mongolia has developed ESG reporting standards as well as SDG taxonomy and has identified specific investment opportunity areas in sectors with high potential for SDG impact. Adopting a sustainability and ESG reporting system will allow Mongolian companies to access sustainable and green finance as ESG is becoming a major requirement for gaining access to institutional sources of finance that require companies to align their business operations with sustainable development.

Low-Frequency Indicators

Financial Indicators

Total external debt servicing (% of revenue)

Heading

14.1

Averages
EMMIE
12.3
LIDC
14.1

6. SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

Along with the SDG budget-tagging exercises, which provide insights on efficiently allocating public funds for a relative increase in public goods and service provision, the UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by Mongolia, possible financing options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are:

  • Align public sector finance to unlock private sector capital for SDGs and climate objectives
  • Address the high cost of debt and rising debt distress risks through strategies like converting short-term high-interest borrowing into long-term debt at lower rates for SDGs or make use of debt for climate swaps
  • Expand fiscal space by implementing environmental taxes
  • Redirect existing harmful subsidies toward sustainable development
  • Develop innovative financing instruments such as thematic bonds and blended financing
  • Strengthen the Development Bank of Mongolia by enhancing capacity and fostering collaboration between national and multilateral banks
  • Enhance the business environment and investment climate to align with SDGs

7. Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).