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Integrated SDG Insights

Gambia

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Gambia’s pace of growth during the cycle 2023-2025 is in acceleration, characterized by being twice that projected for the world, and already above the country’s growth trajectory forecast before the pandemic. While this pace of growth is expected to push the incidence of poverty downwards, currently $3.65 a day, Gambia remains committed to consolidating the gains in its democratic governance, to accelerating green economic and social transformation and to building resilience to shocks and crisis.

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On the positive front, this growth cycle is not projected to depend increasingly on carbon emissions as the country’s fossil carbon emissions intensity of GDP would remain virtually unchanged, with the intensity projected to follow a downward trend at an annual rate of decline of 0.5%, a figure that also takes land-use change into account. This report provides an integrated analysis of SDGs trends and national priorities and explores critical SDG interlinkages to inform policy pathways and development choices. The insights support the Government’s preparation for the SDG Summit and builds towards effective policy implementation in the second half of the 2030 Agenda.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

1.5: Build resilience to environmental, economic and social disasters

Some outcomes of the NDP are to attain the following by 2027: sustainable environmental and natural resources management, disaster risk reduction and minimizing the adverse impacts of climate change.

Persons affected by disasters per 100,000 increased from 1,569.2 to 4,115.8 from 2016 to 2019. The direct economic losses and damages of the two-day July 2022 flood event were estimated at $82.8 million, including $81.5 million in buildings and contents and $1.3 million in agricultural land.  The total damages were estimated to exceed 6.5% of the Gambia's national GDP in 2020. 

To respond to the increasing frequency and severity of disasters, the Government developed strategic documents. These include contingency plans, hazard profiles and disaster risk reduction strategies. The Government also implemented response and resilience building measures,  such as the identification of disaster hotspots and addressing some fundamental challenges of the most vulnerable communities. In addition, the Government used drones for early warning in pre- and post-flood disaster management. The hope is to reverse these trends and to minimize and avert the number of people affected by disasters. 

The Government and its partners will therefore foster land conservation processes, ensure sustainable waste management, green the energy and transport sectors and enhance integrated water resources management. They will strengthen the resilience of local economies as a basis for reducing the economic losses and the number of people affected by natural disasters. This will also build the capacities of local economies to create jobs and for the local authorities to provide the transformative services needed where people live.

8.5: Full employment and decent work with equal pay

The national unemployment rate for the working age population is 31.6 percent, but is highest among women, youth and the rural population. Youth unemployment stands at 38.1%. Considering that the Gambia has a very young population, with about 70 percent under the age of 30, and 44 percent under the age of 15 (Integrated Household Survey 2015/16), there is a huge bulge of unemployed youth. Lack of economic opportunities for youth results in domestic (rural-urban) and international migration. 

Therefore, addressing unemployment is a critical challenge for achieving the SDGs. The micro-, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSME) sector is a significant contributor to reducing unemployment and is said to account for 62 percent of employment in urban Gambia contributing about 20 percent of GDP (Gambia Chamber of Commerce and Industry 2019). Several efforts are being made by the Government and its partners to support the growth of the MSME sector. Also, the country has developed an employment strategy with the target of creating 150,000 jobs by 2026. 

However, no data exists on earnings across categories of jobs, nor mechanisms to track their creation on a regular basis. The Government and its partners may consider exploring efforts to track job creation, analyse performance and make the necessary adjustments. Based on the synergies in the chart on the right, jobs will come from all sectors – including from industry, investment in eco-tourism, health, transport, housing, waste management and others – but achieving 8.5 will also help attain targets across multiple goals. One government commitment is to work with the local authorities, partners and other stakeholders to revitalize local economies and to build resilience. 

16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions

SDG target 16.6 underscores the kind of public services needed for the required transformation to take place in the Gambia. For instance, Gambia’s overall goal by 2027 (NDP 2023-2027) is to consolidate gains in democratic governance, accelerate green economic and social transformation and build resilience to shocks and crises. 

The critical question is what public services must be availed and what investments are needed for the above goal to be met? The chart on synergies suggests that these services could emerge from anywhere from – health, education, industry, transport, housing, internet, water and electricity, among others. 

In the Gambia, 45.3 percent of the population are satisfied with the last public service received. In addition to expanding the transformative services, the Government is setting a target of a 70 percent population satisfaction rate. These services need to be delivered with broad-based objectives to drive meaningful progress.

To do this, the Government and its partners, as articulated in the 2023-2027 NDP, will aim for full coverage and affordable access to electricity by 2030, addressing the quality and relevance of education services; promoting research and innovation in tertiary education by establishing research boards, a council and a national research fund; improving maternal health, neonatal, infant and child health care; and consolidating efforts and implement strategic infrastructure projects in the areas of energy, transport and ICT in order to catalyze growth.

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

The Gambia's gross government debt, projected at 73% of GDP in 2023, is almost 25 percentage points higher than the low-income developing countries (LIDC) group of 48.3%. Comparatively, the country collects nearly a third more revenue – projected at 19.1% of GDP in 2023 – than the average LIDC country with 14.9%.

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This year the Gambia’s public external debt servicing is expected to be as high as 25% of revenue compared to 14.1% for the LIDC average. According to the latest World Bank and IMF DSA of December 2022, the Gambia is assessed at ‘high risk’ of debt distress. It is within these fiscal and financial constraints that the Gambia will make the commitment at the SDG Summit for accelerated actions on the SDGs’ achievement in the next seven years.

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Gambia

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Climate finance
  • Blended and public-private finance
  • SDG-aligned business environment and investment

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).