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Integrated SDG Insights

Mali

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Mali’s pace of growth during the 2023-2025 cycle is in acceleration, characterized by being 70% higher, on average, than the global figure, and already above the country’s growth trajectory projected before the pandemic. Accordingly, Mali’s commitments to achieving the SDGs are focused on building peace and security and increasing people’s well-being.

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Despite the positive impact of this pace of economic growth on poverty reduction at $2.15 and $3.65 a day, there are still significant distributional challenges to accelerate progress. Close to 60% of the poverty headcount is concentrated in three regions. Moreover, this economic expansion occurs at the expense of the environment as the country’s carbon emissions intensity of GDP is expected to increase at an annual rate of 5% due to fossil fuel usage — and at much higher rates when also considering land-use change.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

1.2: By 2030, reduce at least by half the proportion of men, women and children of all ages living in poverty in all its dimensions according to national definitions

Government efforts to contain the socio-economic effects of COVID-19 and the security crises were not enough to sustain the downward trend of poverty which reached 44.1% in 2021, up from 41.9% in 2020.  Altogether 68.3% continue to suffer from multiple overlapping deprivations. Poverty reduction will remain a major concern and will be driven by strengthening the productivity and livelihoods of the most vulnerable populations (SDG 10) to support the acceleration of sustainable economic transformation (SDG 8).

Strengthening the social protection system, which currently benefits 9.3% of the population, and increasing access to basic services (SDGs 3, 4, 6, 7) will ensure the productive inclusion of poor populations (SDG 8) and reduce inequalities (SDG 10) and the extent of social deprivation. The government will provide the means to build the capacity of the poor to exploit and benefit from the green economy and support them to better adapt to climatic hazards (SDG ). Sustainability will be promoted by providing the poor with alternatives for their survival, such as clean cooking and sustainable farming, to alleviate their traditional activities’ detrimental effect on the environment (SDG 13 & SDG 15).

5.5: Ensure women’s full and effective participation and equal opportunities for leadership at all levels of decision-making in political, economic and public life ​

Mali has made encouraging progress in terms of gender equality, although significant challenges persist. The ratio of female-to-male mean years of education received reached 108.5% in 2021 while 27.3% of seats in parliament are held by women. However, the ratio of the activity rate of women to men (67.4% in 2022) has not improved, illustrating the need to strengthen policies and programmes for women's access to productive resources and their socio-economic empowerment.

The government will scale up the fight against gender-based violence while expanding the geographic coverage of holistic gender-based violence care services in conflict-affected areas. Women's leadership and their socio-economic empowerment will be further strengthened by improving their financial inclusion (SDG 9) and by providing incentives for girls to opt for science courses (SDG 4). Women, who  represent 60% of agricultural labour force and 80% of food production labour, will be enabled to play a transformative role for land conservation (SDG 15) and climate action (SDG 13).

8.5: By 2030 achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all women and men, including for young people and persons with disabilities, and equal pay for work of equal value​

Between 2020 and 2021, the unemployment rate increased from 5.2% in 2020 to 7.5% in 2021. From 2017 to 2021, the unemployment rate remains higher for women than for men. Similarly, the unemployment rate for young people under 25 rose from 8.8% in 2020 to 13.3% in 2021. This reflects the challenge for integrating young people into the labour force. Employment challenges arise mainly in terms of underemployment and precarious employment with 92% of informal jobs in the non-agricultural sector.

The government's response will focus on adapting labour market regulations to promote access to employment, thereby accelerating the diversification of the economy, developing the skills of young people and women (SDG 4) and introducing an adequate system to support self-employment and entrepreneurship. The government will also focus on improving access for crafts and tourism businesses to credit and markets (SDG 9). The social protection-employment nexus will be mobilized as an accelerator to ensure productive inclusion that enables the most vulnerable people, including people living with disabilities, to benefit from economic opportunities (SDG 10).

11.1: By 2030, ensure access for all to adequate, safe and affordable housing and basic services, and upgrade slums​

The proportion of the population living in inadequate housing remained low between 2017 and 2020 both in rural areas (falling from 8.5% to 3.2%) and in urban areas (a drop of 0.4 percentage points). However, a record percentage point gain was noted in rural areas. Notable actions implemented recently concern the dematerialization of land archives, the establishment of  Unique National Cadastral Identification Numbers and the development of municipal cadastres, which constitute innovative initiatives for securing land.

The construction of sustainable cities to improve the living environment in urban areas will be based on an adequate cadastral and urban planning policy to mitigate the effects of climate change (SDG 13). It will also consider structuring and transformative actions in terms of improved sanitation (SDG 6) and living conditions in poor peri-urban neighbourhoods and the development of urban road infrastructure (SDG 9). The implementation of a sustainable solid waste management policy will constitute a new niche for job promotion (SDG 8) and will contribute to improving the health of populations (SG 3).

16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions at all levels​

Since 2012, Mali has been facing the consequences of a multidimensional crisis that has shaken the foundations of the nation itself. This profound multidimensional crisis has its roots in the cumulative deficit of governance found principally in the socio-political, economic and security realms. The proportion of individuals aged 18 and over who are victims of physical, psychological or sexual violence stood at 0.8% in 2019. Only 23.2% of individuals aged 18 and over deem that travelling alone on foot in  their residential area poses no danger.The satisfaction of public services users declined between 2010 (44%) and 2020 (25%).

The government is convinced that peace, strong and effective institutions able to fight against corruption are prerequisites for the achievement of all the SDGs. It will continue its actions to rebuild the state and the social contract by emphasizing the implementation of the Peace and Reconciliation Agreement resulting from the Algiers process; by securing people and their property; by continuing the fight against corruption;  by accelerating the process of transferring resources and powers to local authorities; and by implementing the political transition agenda that should lead to the consolidation of the rule of law.

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

Mali's gross government debt is projected at 53.8% of GDP in 2023, which is 5.5 percentage points (pp) above the low-income developing countries’ (LIDC) average of 48.3%, but below the established West African Economic and Monetary Union threshold of 70%. The country is projected to collect 19.9% of GDP in revenue this year, thus more than a third more than the LIDC average of 14.9%. 

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Mali’s public external debt servicing this year is projected to reach 9.9% of revenue, which is a third below the LIDC average of 14.1%. Due to a worrisome upward trajectory and pace of debt accumulation, the latest World Bank and IMF DSA from March 2021 rated the country at ‘moderate risk of debt distress’. Grants have evolved downwards with a forecast of 0.7% of GDP in 2023 against 4.1% in 2020. This trend could worsen depending on the political situation and the interest of donors in maintaining their support to the transition process.

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Mali

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax and revenue reform
  • Debt for SDGs
  • Climate finance
  • Blended and public-private finance
  • SDG-aligned business environment and investment
  • Remittances, philanthropy and faith-based financing

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).