Back to main site

Integrated SDG Insights

Kyrgyzstan

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

Kyrgyzstan’s economy is in coping phase in 2023 and it is projected to transition to acceleration mode in 2024 before muddling through again in 2025. This pace of growth is characterized by being 28% higher, on average, than the global figure, and above the country’s growth trajectory projected before the pandemic. Kyrgyzstan’s national medium- term economic forecast projects growth from 4,9% in 2023 to 4.5% in 2025, which is 1%- 1.5% higher than the IMF forecast. Accordingly, Kyrgyzstan’s commitments to achieving the SDGs are focused on increasing people’s well-being and accelerating progress through building an inclusive, green and digital economy.

Read More

The social and economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic has worsened the situation of women and girls. They still suffer higher rates of unemployment, rising levels of violence within the home and a sharp increase in unpaid care and domestic work, while facing barriers in access to decision-making positions and to and ownership of resources. This pace of growth is expected to contribute to the reduction of poverty at $3.65 and $6.85 a day — though still significant challenges remain to accelerate progress, especially from the relatively high levels at the latter threshold. Gender inequalities remain pronounced, in particular in the female-to-male labour force participation rate and in seats held by women in the national parliament. Moreover, the economic expansion would be somewhat less dependent on carbon emissions as the country’s carbon emissions intensity of GDP is expected to decline at an annual rate of 0.5%.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

2.2: End all forms of malnutrition and ensure food security

Target 2.2, focusing on food security and (mal)nutrition, holds significant importance for Kyrgyzstan. None of Kyrgyzstan's SDG2 targets are on track; most are off track. Despite significant progress in reducing prevalence of stunting in children (from 18% in 2010 to 11% in 2020), the prevalence of anemia among women remains high (around 35%), reflecting the persistent prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity (Target 2.1). Access to safe and nutritious food improves health outcomes (Target 3) and benefits educational achievements (Target 4).


While irrigation is key for achieving food security, water is also central to Kyrgyzstan's energy balance, which relies heavily on hydro power. Due to drought conditions a three- year energy sector emergency has been declared. Ensuring food security links closely to SDG 8, creating employment and contributing to rural economic growth. Equal access to resources (Target 1.4), especially the guarantee of women’s rights to access and control resources (Target 5.a) could contribute to accelerating progress. Target 2.1 aligns with SDG 12's emphasis on sustainable consumption and production, promoting sustainable food systems and waste reduction.


By building resilient agricultural practices (Target 2.4), Kyrgyzstan can free up more water for hydropower (Target 7), mitigate the impacts of climate change and support climate action (Target 13), while maintaining viability of ecosystems, especially in mountainous regions (Target 15). Ultimately, ensuring food security fosters social stability, reduces conflicts arising from food scarcity and promotes effective food governance (Target 16).

4.3: Equal access for all to quality education

In Kyrgyzstan, SDG target 4.3 aims to ensure equal access to quality technical, vocational and tertiary education. Kyrgyzstan has a high 13.2 expected years of schooling in 2021 and a high upper secondary education completion rate of around 96% over the past decade.


However, quality of education and equal access remain concerns. SDG 4.3 has important interlinkages with other SDGs, especially Goal 8, through improving employability, reducing the skills mismatch, ensuring the future readiness of people in the workforce and ultimately reducing poverty (Target 1).


This will promote equal access to the labour market for women/girls and men and further the empowerment of women to participate in the local labour market, including by enhancing their access to science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) and ICT education (Targets 5.5, 5.b). Quality technical education will equip individuals with skills aligned with labour market demands, fostering decent work and economic growth (Target 8). Ultimately, equal access to technical education will reduce inequalities, empowering individuals, groups and localities left behind, and promoting social inclusion (Target 10).

7.1, 7.2 and 7.3: Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all

Access to affordable and sustainable energy is crucial for Kyrgyzstan’s development and it is an accelerator for the whole SDG agenda. Despite universal access to electricity (Target 7.1) and high share of renewables (the renewable energy share remains relatively stable close to 30% in past decade), especially hydropower in electricity generation (Targets 7.2, 7.3), vulnerabilities and issues remain evident.


Currently the country suffers from an electricity generation deficit and a presidential decree declared a three-year emergency in the energy sector. Hydropower, a renewable energy, is a mixed blessing. It requires water, which may raise issues (Target 6.5) with downstream countries. Availability of water is increasingly affected by climate change, making the supply of hydroelectricity unpredictable. Energy imports raise the share of fossil fuels in the national energy balance (some 8% of imports, close to US$1 bn annually) and burden the country's large and growing deficit (reflecting a fall in gold exports and higher import prices for food and fuel). Reliable access to energy remains highly unequal, with large pockets of energy poverty in rural areas. Affordable and reliable energy drives economic growth, job creation and entrepreneurship opportunities (Target 8) and sustainable industrialization (Targets 9, 10, 11). Thus, it reduces income poverty (Target 1), including energy poverty (Target 1.4), and improves well-being. It is vital for health care facilities (Target 3) and access to education (Target 4). Sustainable energy sources contribute to mitigating climate change by reducing greenhouse gas emissions (Target 13), by promoting renewable energy and supporting the transition to a low-carbon economy (Target 12). At the same time, industrialization (Target 9) will put a further demand on ensuring universal access to affordable, reliable and modern energy services, and on the need for possible trade-offs between energy availability and the use of renewables.

8.6: Promote youth employment, education and training

According to UN Stats, none of Kyrgyzstan's SDG8 targets are on track. In the Kyrgyzstan context SDG Target 8.6 aligns with the goal of reducing poverty (Targets 1.1, 1.2) through promoting decent work, providing individuals with opportunities for sustainable income generation and economic empowerment.


Ensuring equal access to quality technical, vocational and tertiary education (Target 4.3) and providing relevant skills (Target 4.4) is one of the key drivers of this target. Kyrgyzstan has a high 13.2 expected years of schooling in 2021 and high upper secondary education completion rate (which was around 96% over the past decade).


However, quality of education and equal access remain concerns. Promoting equal access to the labour market for women/girls and men and the further empowerment of women to participate in the local labour market, including by enhancing their access to STEM and ICT education (Targets 5.5, 5.b).


Economic policies (Target 8.3), facilitation of business development and trade (Targets 8.a, 17.10, 17.11) and building economic institutions (Target 16.6) will accelerate progress.

11.1: Safe and affordable housing and basic services

In Kyrgyzstan quality of life—in terms of affordable housing and basic services—varies significantly by regions. According to UN Stat data, only half of the rural population (57%) is using safely managed drinking water services, compared to virtually universal access in urban areas (91%). According to national data, 35% of the population have sustainable access to sanitation facilities, ranging from 98% in Bishkek city to less than 1% in the Osh region. Despite universal access to electricity (Target 7.1) and a high share of renewable hydropower in electricity generation (Target 7.2), vulnerabilities and issues remain evident. Non-sustainable urbanization and lack of affordable fuels result in high air pollution in urban areas, affecting the health of the population (Target 3.9).


Providing universal access for all to adequate, safe and affordable housing and basic services requires investments in resilient infrastructure (Target 9.1, 9.4) to prepare them for climate change and disasters (Targets 1.5, 13.2). Recognition and redistribution of unpaid care work, through social protection policies and the development of adequate care infrastructures and services (Target 5.4). It will contribute to the reduction of inequalities (Target 10) and to reducing conflicts (Target 16). It also could have a positive impact on the sustainability of ecosystems (Targets 6, 14, 15).

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

Although it has fallen sharply since the pandemic, Kyrgyzstan's gross government debt is projected at 53% of GDP in 2023, which is 4.7 percentage points (pp) above the low-income developing countries (LIDC) average of 48.3%. The country is projected to collect 34.5% of GDP in revenue this year, thus nearly 2.5 times the LIDC group of 14.9%.

Show More

Kyrgyzstan’s public external debt servicing this year is projected to reach 7.4% of revenue, nearly half the LIDC average of 14.1%. Due to the pace of domestic debt accumulation, the latest World Bank and IMF DSA from February 2023 rates the country as at ‘moderate risk of debt distress’.

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

Kyrgyzstan

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax and revenue reform: Building on the current reforms for
    aligning over 5% of tax expenditures with SDGs and prioritizing future tax incentives, as per the national development agenda.
  • Debt for SDGs: Debt4Nature swap mechanism to support additional investments in green/climate finance
  • Climate finance
  • Blended and public-private finance
  • Remittances
  • Gender-responsive budgeting
  • Taxation for gender equality.

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).