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Integrated SDG Insights

South Sudan

UNDP’s Integrated SDG Insights explore how to achieve the SDGs by 2030. So that no one is left behind.

How To Read This Report

‘SDG Insights’ playbooks transcend development “as usual,” and leverages data innovation, AI and systems analysis to chart credible pathways that help countries meet the 2030 Agenda.

SDG Moment This section provides an overview of a country's economic growth trajectory, with new insights on sustainability and inclusiveness of growth pathways.

SDG Trends & Priorities This section builds from the foundation of national SDG progress and uses machine learning to analyse national development ambition with an SDG lens.

SDG Interlinkages Combined, these insights are mapped against SDG interlinkages to define policy choices the accelerate SDG progress, tailored to national context.

Finance & StimulusThese policy choices are made against fiscal constraints and opportunities for stimulus mapped in this section to ensure choices translate to development impact and leave no one behind.

1. SDG Moment

While economic growth is a key element in achieving the SDGs, many countries are intent on moving beyond growth as a yardstick for progress. In the short run, growth enables the SDGs; but in the long run, the SDGs aim to transform the pattern of growth itself.

GDP Growth Pathways

People

Poverty: Percentage of the population under each threshold (PPP$ a day).

Data not available.

Planet

Carbon Intensity: CO2 emissions intensity of GDP (tCO2 per PPP $1,000).

South Sudan’s economic growth cycle in 2023-2024 is in acceleration, but it is expected to transition to coping mode by 2025. This pace of growth is characterized by being 68% higher, on average, than the global figure (and aligned to the country’s growth trajectory projected before the pandemic and subsequent crises). Accordingly, the country’s commitments to achieving the SDGs are focused on consolidating peace, stabilizing the economy and returning to a path of sustainable development.

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This pace of economic growth would exert a moderate positive impact on extreme poverty (at $2.15 a day), because of the prolonged conflict that continues to negatively impact the people of South Sudan. Moreover, the growth cycle would be somewhat less dependent on carbon emissions as the country’s fossil emissions intensity of GDP is projected to decrease at an annual rate of 1.7%, and of 8% when also considering land-use change.

3. SDG Interlinkages

Maps synergies and trade-offs of national priorities to the most relevant SDG targets to chart policy pathways with most potential to accelerate progress.

2.4: Sustainable food production and resilient agricultural practices​

Enhancing the sustainability of food systems confronts a key challenge of food insecurity in South Sudan (target 2.1) and in combination with national priorities relates to sustainable growth, can spur the development of local economies (target 11.1). While South Sudan has significant potential to develop resilient food systems, food insecurity persists, exacerbated by social and economic fragmentation, where local economies are disconnected from each other due to infrastructure and conflict. For instance about 75% of the land area is suitable for agriculture while approximately one-half of the total 64.7 million hectares of land is suitable for cultivation, which points to the potential.

Improvements in food production systems requires combination of investment through local, national and international partnerships that build resilience (target 17.3).   ​

Advancing sustainable food systems cannot be disconnected from progress in peacebuilding, in particular violence reduction (target 16.1). The Partnership for Recovery and Resilience is a driver of integrated progress in this respect, fostering partnerships across regional and central government.​

8.5: Full employment and decent work with equal pay

Decent work for all is a foundational priority of the government of South Sudan, and directly related to is ambition to build just and peaceful societies.  Critical in this respect is advancing decent work for all men and women, young people and people with disabilities – equally critical as a investment to stabilize and build from peace dividends. Decent work was amplified across stakeholder groups engaged in national dialogue and consultations carried forward into the South Sudan National Development Strategy. ​

The policy combination for creating jobs is closely connected with transforming education (Target 4.1, Target 8.2) building in part from the Diagnostic Trade Integration Study Update, trade (Target 17.11) and re-shaping the role of government at all levels (Target 16.6). While there are ongoing reforms prescribed in Chapter IV of the Revitalised Agreement on the Resolution of the Conflict in the Republic of South Sudan (R-ARCSS), their domestication in the states and counties (11.1) will further advance job creation. ​

The above policy combinations have demonstrated most impact when approached through a local lens, address geographies and specific needs and vulnerabilities with hyperlocal tailoring. That is where unlocking progress to build social cohesion (Target 10.2) and facilitating movement through resilient infrastructure (Target 9.1) will yield significant gains.​

13.1: Strengthen resilience and adaptive capacity to climate-related disasters​

In South Sudan, there is a strong connection between conflict and climate. Conflict reflects lingering disputes over land, livestock and water, and these tensions are expected to worsen with the climate crisis. Pastoralist communities move their cattle in search pasture and water. They often come into conflict with communities that are mainly crop farmers.​

Government and partners can strengthen the resilience and adaptive capacity to climate related hazards and natural disasters (target 13.1) at the local level by leveraging current priority investments in integrated water resource management (target 6.5) and directly aligned with South Sudan's priority to advance just and peaceful societies through civilian disarmament (target 16.1).​

The gendered experience of conflict and climate in South Sudan requires differentiated strategies that address the movement of pastoralist men with livestock and the experience of women often struggling with the effects of the drought on households. ​

16.6: Develop effective, accountable and transparent institutions

The thrust of South Sudan’s development blueprint is to consolidate peace, stabilize the economy and return to a path of sustainable development. This prioritization reflects South Sudan's focus on peace, justice and effective governance to catalyse the achievement of multiple SDGs.​

The development blueprint considers local public services of a transformative nature including disarmament, access to justice before the law, public finance management and e-governance. No data is available citizens’ experience with public services. Innovative ways to collect data, and directly combine with health (Target 3.8) and education (Target 4.1) mutually reinforce progress to build effective public services for all.​

To unlock progress, capabilities development has been identified as a key driver (Target 17.9). ​

15.1: By 2020, ensure the conservation, restoration and sustainableuse of terrestrial and inland freshwater ecosystems and their services.

By prioritizing Target 15.1 in its 2021-2025 National Development Plan, Ecuadorreaffirmed the significance of protecting and preserving terrestrial ecosystems andtheir biodiversity. This includes recognizing that the investment projects intendedto fulfil Target 15.1 will not only contribute to achieving the SDGs 13, 14 and 15, butwill also help restore ecosystems that underpin the availability and comprehensivemanagement of water resources (SDG 6) and promote their sustainable use (Target12.2). Additionally, it will also foster the generation of new energy from renewablesources (Target 7.2).

To this end, Ecuador seeks to strengthen the management of the National Systemof Protected Areas through its 2022-2032 Strategic Plan and the implementationof the National Forest Restoration Plan 2019-2030. These instruments serve as thetechnical, legal and financial foundation for executing local forest restorationprocesses with a landscape vision, with an overall goal of covering 30,000hectares through its projects. Considering that the proportion of national territoryunder conservation or environmental management, as of 2022, stands at 22.1%, itis necessary to mobilize additional financial resources from various sources andestablish robust governance (Target 17.3) to intensify the care of protected areas.This ensures the conservation of natural and cultural resources, genetic flows, theprovision of environmental services for the benefit of the population and thealignment of policies on the ground.

Futures Scenarios

SDG Push is a futures scenario based on 48 integrated accelerators in the areas of Governance, Social Protection, Green Economy and Digital Disruption. It uses national data to explore the impact on human development by 2030 and 2050 across key SDG indicators. It does this by using ‘International Futures,’ a systems model designed to explore interactions across development systems.

Poverty <$1.90 Per Day (Number of People)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

Malnourished Children Under 5 (Number Of Children)

4. Finance and Stimulus

Many countries are facing reduced fiscal space, high debt levels, rising interest rates and downgrades on credit ratings. Fiscal and financial constraints tend to slow or even reverse SDG progress.

South Sudan's gross government debt, projected at 48.4% of GDP in 2023, is nearly identical to the low-income developing countries (LIDC) group of 48.3%. The country is expected to collect 32.4% of GDP in revenue this year, which is more than double the LIDC group ratio of 14.9%.​ South Sudan's public external debt servicing this year is expected to be as high as 17.9% of revenue compared to 14.1% for the LIDC average. The latest World Bank and IMF DSA from March 2023 rates the country at ‘high risk’ of debt distress. ​

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Growth is projected to rebound in 2022/23 due to increased oil export receipts. This is anticipated to be driven by industry and by private consumption and investment. Inflation is projected to increase to 16% in 2022/23 because of drought and higher food prices. Fiscal consolidation, the IMF Special Drawing Rights allocation (about 3.8% of GDP) and increased oil revenues will generate a fiscal surplus of 8.9% of GDP in 2022/23.​​ South Sudan is using a UN Integrated National Financing Framework to address key fiscal and financial constraints and to build a more sustainable financial architecture at the national level. Priority actions include the strategic management of oil revenue; broadening and deepening the revenue base; enhancing local content in development projects; and the contribution of FDI to national development priorities.

SDG Stimulus

The UN Secretary General’s SDG Stimulus Plan lays out a blueprint for action within the existing financial architecture. It includes:

  • Providing liquidity to support recovery in the near term
  • Enhance debt relief for vulnerable countries.​
  • Expanding development financing by MDBs
  • Align financial flows with the SDGs and Paris Agreement, according to country-level priorities and needs, for example through the rollout of the UN Integrated National Financing Framework (INFFs).

Given the projected fiscal and financial constraints faced by

South Sudan

possible funding options for the investments derived from the identified interlinkages are as follows:

  • Tax and revenue reform, with the focus on increasing non-oil revenue​
  • Debt for SDGs, through Central Bank Treasury bills and accessing concessional financing​
  • Blended and public-private finance, increasing commercial banks' leading to the private sector​
  • SDG-aligned business environment and investment​
  • Accessing financial markets and insurance

Methodology & Data Sources

Click here to view the Methodological Note for the Integrated SDG Insights.

This report is the result of a global exercise carried out using artificial intelligence to identify SDG priorities based on 10 national government documents, together with SDG progress and SDG interlinkage analysis. The implementation and monitoring of the 2030 Agenda in Argentina should be consulted in the Country Reports and National Voluntary Reports.

SDG Moment

Methodology
Assesses challenges and opportunities in national growth trajectories with insights on environmental sustainability and inclusiveness.

Data Sources
Future trajectories to 2025 are based on IMF-WEO GDP projections, distributions of per capita income or consumption from the World Bank, and CO2 emissions from the Global Carbon Budget 2022 and EDGAR (JRC and IEA).​

Trends & Priorities

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Interlinkages

Methodology
SDG trends tracks progress from 2015 to date for the 231 indicators. National priorities are analysed using machine learning to reveal the most prominent SDGs referenced in national policy documents.

Data Sources
The exercise globally considered a total of 454 documents published from 2015 to August 2022. (Miola et al., 2019 updated in 2021-2022)​

Finance & Stimulus

Methodology
Provides insight into indicators of fiscal and financial stress with options (INFF) for stimulus and other means to accelerate progress.

Data Sources
Most recent resource data from UNU-WIDER GRD (between 2018 and 2021), debt and revenue from IMF WEO (between 2020 and forecasts for 2023), external debt from IDS (2023), yields from Haver Analytics (8 June 2023), credit ratings from S&P, Moodys and FITCH (2023), and DSA ratings from World Bank/IMF (31 May 2023).